In order to understand what investment is based on, in simple terms, it is based on buying things which gain value over time.
Will gold gain value over time?
Value of product (price of product) is determined by these things:
- Cost of production
- Demand
- Supply
- Ratio of money to product (artificially altered demand supply ratio)
Cost of production is the basic price of each product. Product cannot be produced at higher cost than it is sold, as that makes business impossible.
thus, in free market, this economic law must be usually true:
Price of product > Price of production of product
Demand for product is shaped by people's desire to buy product.
Supply is shaped by total amount of product, which in cases where production is higher than product expiration, constantly increases.
Ratio of money to product is shaped by amount of money in total compared to amount of product.
these are 4 basic laws which govern price of product in free market.
Why Gold reliably increases in price by 3 out of 4 laws
When it comes to first law, cost of production, there is no doubt that cost of production of gold will actually rise. With rising minimum wages, rising cost of machines, rising cost of mining, and being forced to mine deeper than before, increasing cost of transport, and likewise processing,
cost of production of gold logically must rise in future.
When it comes to second law, demand. Demand for gold is likely to rise in future, not just due to increasing planet population, but also for rising life standard which enables more people to buy gold. Also, due to constant inflation, gold becomes obvious safe investment for all.
When it comes to third law, supply. Production of gold has recently reached its peak. In other words, supply of gold increases more than before. this affects price in a way that it reduces price, but not by much.
When it comes to fourth law, artificial change in supply demand ratio, achieved by government printing money.
today, government prints more money than ever before. Money supply rises very fast.
Why is this important? Printing money artificially increases demand for products, because there is more money chasing same amount of products.
Government will likely print even more money in future, and this means ratio of money supply to gold supply and to supply of other products increases, wages increase, cost of production increases, which means it increases price of gold.
Conclusion
3 out of 4 economic price predictors say that gold in future will increase in price.
the increasing supply of gold is the only predictor which favors lowering price, however such predictor didnt cause lowering the price of gold in previous 20 years.
Because other 3 predictors will increase even more in future, and supply likely wont increase as much by ratio, price of gold should grow in next 20 years more than it did in past 20 years.
"In 2005, the price of gold saw a significant rise, with the annual average closing price around $445 to $513 per troy ounce, starting the year lower (around $428) and ending it much higher (around $513) as demand surged, marking a strong upward trend for the metal."
"Gold prices in 2025 have seen significant volatility, starting lower but soaring to new all-time highs, with late-year figures showing around $4,100-$4,300+ per ounce, driven by inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and central bank buying, though a late December dip occurred due to profit-taking and peace talk optimism, with forecasts for 2026 pointing towards potential highs near $5,000"
"In 2005, the average price of gold was around $444.84 per ounce, which translates to roughly $14.30 per gram,"
"As of December 30, 2025, the price of gold is approximately $140.40 per gram (around $4,366 per troy ounce)."
Gold increased in value by about 10x over past 20 years, for someone who bought in 2005 and sold in 2025.
In next 20 years, growth of gold value is likely going to be over 10x, because economic price predictors favor higher price in future more than they did before.
to maximize investment in gold, buy when lowest and sell when highest.