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HCBM Mafia DP2

Started by Vader

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Conversation

Total: 536
ISO #451 •••
--> @Magoroth
By the way scum you will have to shoot in the other group because if you narrow the PoE I’m going to do everything in my power to lynch the scum, you will not be able to mislynch me or convince people to do it. I will fight tooth and nail and you will not win that fight.


Not sure why you'd telegraph this. Yes, anyone would expect you to do hit this hard given your results.

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ISO #452 •••
--> @whiteflame

I’m just giving them a warning.

It would be ideal for us if they shot in the PoE.

Since it doesn’t confirm me, but they have a shot at mislynching me tomorrow. It would actually be better for us AND for them, it’s risky but it can win them the game.


Because if you believe me, their ONLY choice is killing me.

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ISO #453 •••

That is 100% the best play for them, hands down.

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ISO #454 •••
--> @Mag1cman

Again, are you on board with a Shining VTL?

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ISO #455 •••
--> @Kohai

Weigh in man

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ISO #456 •••

VTL Shining

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ISO #457 •••
> Be Thoth
> Suggest something we could soft-claim
> Expect people to discuss the merits of this soft-claim
> People just soft-claim


From Thoth. This was when he suggested we pick from softs. I remember townreading this post when I first read it. But I do feel little conflicted here, because this is a great way to fake contribute. I don’t know what he’d think is towny or scummy from the responses, but I can least buy the idea of him having something in mind for a towny or scummy response.


There's another soft I would like us to do, and this thought crossed my mind because I've never seen my role before. I think this one is good enough that it could be meta for future games.
According to the MafiaUniverse role database, is your role frequency Common, Occasionally, Rarely, or not in the list, at least not under that name?
My role is Occasionally. Again, I've never seen it before, but I haven't been around as long as some of you have, and roles may be more or less common in different sites' metas. I think this should make role fake-claiming much harder for scum while not giving them a dangerous amount of information.


This was pretty bad idea. One that I really don’t like. As Wryly said, those with common PRs would out that they have a major role that scum would nuke on the spot. This is where we have to ask a question: Is scum Thoth too afraid to post something like this?


I think Kohai is townlock. No way he just suggests that we lynch him as scum


>That also makes it a scummier claim because wagons won't build on him out of caution and it's only confirmable by lynching him.
Also agree


Two posts. Appears to be a bit of a pivot, but actually quite understandable given that Kohai seems down with his own lynch. But I don’t understand the logic of thinking it’s scummy claim in the first place. No mafioso is going to claim hates off the rip when they don’t know what else is in the game. In my mind, the only way Kohai can be scum is if hated was a provided fake claim.


My only real scumread so far is Mag1c and even that's not especially strong. I'm getting null vibes off of WF and Pie as always. Null on Rex too. Solid town on Wryly and Kohai, a bit less solid on Magoroth. Slight scum on Shining.
I don't like Pie's, "claim or your head on this pike", act, but from him that's NAI if not townie. Pie's initial "softclaim" was negative on the Mohs scale, even though he claimed event later. Typical hypiecrisy.

Is it towny or scummy that Thoth’s reads didn’t change much? I think both sides have an incentive to change reads as TJ game goes on; town, as they learn more. Mafia; to appear town and take advantage of situations that arise. I think the difference here is that town doesn’t have to change reads quite as much as mafia. So I’m gonna say this post is towny.


I found an instance of my role, with the same name but slightly different mechanics, within about ten minutes of Ctrl+F'ing through endgame threads on DebateArt, so maybe it's not as rare as I thought. That, or I'm just saying this in hopes scum will waste their time.
W I F O M
Did you know that, during World War II, the British put complicated-looking devices that did nothing on their airplanes so that, if the Axis downed a plane and recovered the device from the rubble, the Germans would waste time trying to figure out what it did?

I don’t know if he thinks he can manipulate scum somehow, but I don’t think giving an obvious hint as to what he’s doing helps. Could’ve reaction baiting, like how he wanted people to discuss softclaims.


At any rate, this does check out with governor. I’ve noticed this while doing archive work, but hosts here tend to call roles different things than what MU calls them. Governor, politician, magistrate (really just roles with names along that line) are all a source of confusion iirc.


im gonna end the ISO there and switch to memory.


The vig fake claim is completely insane if you’re scum. You’d know town would try and test you with on it. You’d at least run it by a teammate who’d veto it. I’m not shocked at the idea of whole claim being reaction baiting, because it seems like a lot of what I think he’s been doing.


Last thing: Thoth is weird. And as I’m remembering now, he has said his style is to do things so weird that no one could possibly think he’s scum. So unfortunately, too scummy to be scum isn’t actually that good. But then, is there a higher level, a level of craziness he still wouldn’t cross, even though that’s his strategy? Sigh. I think my big key here is that his reads haven’t changed all game long, and his refusal to out his read on Whiteflame for so much time.


was that a reaction test, too? And I don’t see a place where he’s found a reason to townread someone off a reaction test.


eh. I think his reads change a bit more to circumstances and opportunities if he’s scum.


There’s so much I hate about him, but imma go town for now.


as for his role, I’m not gonna tell him how to use it.

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #458 •••
--> @Wryly

I don’t think a governor can stop their own lynch.


as for shining, I guess, but I still prefer Magoroth.


i don’t think an investigate outs his character so early. Especially since you can tell he was thinking about the pros and cons of doing it, while he did it.


i really do think he just wanted to give his fake character for town cred, and was just awkward about trying to justify it. And I also think there may be another investigative out there hiding, not wanting to claim. Which is fine I suppose.


The OMGUS, the malding, the character claim timing, the having a strong role while downplaying the frap out of it, suddenly joining wagons, and the over-friendly performance (:D:D:D:D:D) before the OMGUS all strike me as scummy. The fact that his claim is plausible (especially with no third investigative claim- 2 are most common in Vader games) is the only thing giving me some form of pause, but the behavior is just so scummy.

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #459 •••
--> @Mag1cman

I get the case you're making as regards Magoroth, though I'm going to have to defer to your experience with him on MU for any behavioral differences from his normal play. He's still in my POE, albeit not among my top choices. What are you thinking for a plausible scum pairing?

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ISO #460 •••
--> @Thoth
If Magic or Shining flipped town or scum, where would y’all be looking for scum based on the flip?

if Shining was lynched and flipped scum, it doesn’t change much for me.


I’ve seen many buses of different severities in my time. I’m still gonna go for who I think is individually scummy.


I got burned in game shows mafia, townread Banana mostly because Mikal was on her all game long. And I had felt they were the two individually scummiest in a vacuum. Not making that mistake again.

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #461 •••

How the hell does my character show ANYTHING with regards to my role?

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ISO #462 •••
--> @whiteflame

We’ve reached a stage of the game where everyone has sussed everyone, to varying degrees, at one point or another.


In my book there are no unpairings anymore.

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #463 •••
--> @Magoroth

Doesn’t matter because you were analyzing the pros and cons of outing your character while you did it. You can talk all you want about how low risk your claim ended up being, but at the time it doesn’t appear you knew it was low risk.

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #464 •••
--> @Mag1cman

Fair enough, though I do think that there are some people who are pretty unlikely to pair with him (you, for example). I get that scum are probably bussing each other, but I don't see you going this hard on your own partner with the Shining lynch available.

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ISO #465 •••
--> @Mag1cman

The unpairings are


Mag1cman/Magoroth

Shining/Magoroth

Mag1cman/Thoth

Thoth/Shining

whiteflame/Thoth

whiteflame/Mag1cman

Kohai/whiteflame

Kohai/Mag1cman

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ISO #466 •••
--> @Wryly

I simply disagree.

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #467 •••

It’s 11. Reading Thoth took longer than I wanted. Gimme 30 mins to quick scroll Wryly and Whiteflame

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #468 •••
--> @Mag1cman

You tunneled Magoroth hard after his Sensor results; you're not scum


Shining has FOS's Magoroth hard; they're not scum


You railed at Thoth for not coming forward with his whiteflame tell; you two are not scum


Shining VTL'd Thoth; nixing them


Thoth tunneled whiteflame; they're not scum


You and whiteflame cannot both be scum if Magoroth is telling the truth


Kohai and whiteflame cannot both be scum if Magoroth is telling the truth


Kohai and you cannot both be scum if whiteflame is telling the truth


What is there to disagree with here

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ISO #469 •••

*scum partners

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ISO #470 •••
Kohai and you cannot both be scum if whiteflame is telling the truth


*Magoroth


typing too fast bc I have no time

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ISO #471 •••

Approximately 90 minutes remaining

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ISO #472 •••
--> @Wryly

Because everyone has sussed everyone at some point.


But I’ll admit you’re correct about the ones revolving around “if Magoroth is telling the truth” those are mechanical.

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #473 •••

I quickscrolled Wryly


So many small things telling me she’s town, the way she investigates things.

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #474 •••

There is a possible tinfoil that she waits for something to happen then jumps on it. But it’s not my main thought when I look at her behavior

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I still don’t know what to type!

ISO #475 •••

I'm doing some reading back through Magoroth's posts before I make a decision.

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ISO #476 •••

Official Vote Count


Mag1cman (1/4) - Thoth

Shining (1/4) - Magoroth

VTNL (1/4) - Shining


Please let me know if I’ve made any mistakes

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ISO #477 •••

VTL Shining

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ISO #478 •••

Official Vote Count


Shining (2/4) - Magoroth, Wryly

Mag1cman (1/4) - Thoth

VTNL (1/4) - Shining


Please let me know if I’ve made any mistakes


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ISO #479 •••

If I'm wrong I'll eat it.

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ISO #480 •••
--> @Kohai, @Thoth

Dudes. Not much time left.

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