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@Casey_Risk
I'm gonna ask everyone here a question, similar to the one I asked DP1. Let's say that Shining and Banana are both town. What does this mean for you? Who is scum in this scenario?
Alright, that would leave us with 9 players, excluding me. Pie's confirmed town, so 8. I'm also going to leave you out under the assumption that you'll flip town by the end of the NP, so 7.
I'd say there's a very outside chance it's Vader and Mag1c. Exceedingly unlikely given the lack of protective roles, but these two would have to have known about that somehow and planned the Poisoning without actually using it. Highly doubt it, just see these two as almost certainly town.
And then there were five.
I'd say Wryly is in a similar camp with the Cop claim. For one, I just think it's a little too good, especially compared with Alyssa and Thoth's claims. For another, I just don't think scum had enough information early enough to dismiss the existence of a Cop and just go for it. I have some reason to believe scum knew certain possible roles were in the game, but not what isn't. I'd say that also is good evidence in Rex's favor, though that's a lesser element. He could still be lying about his role, and especially if the flavor of Wryly's Cop is what I already suspected, it would be odd to feature his role in this game. Still, not a likely scum pair at all.
I don't really buy Kohai as scum either. Was a little leery of his claim when it came up, but the more I've chewed over it, the more I think it sounds reasonable as something coming from Mikal in particular, and I think his behavior has looked pretty townie. Given my experience on a scum team with him, that means a lot by itself.
With Awesome, I'm just kind of null on behaviorally, but I do think his claim makes sense. It's another instance of my seeing the likelihood of Mikal authoring that role for Airmax, and I don't think Awesome is terribly likely to have come up with it, nor for that matter is Thoth nor Alyssa.
So, if I had to pick among these people... Mestari and REF. Going to need to explain both.
Starting with REF, I just don't know what to make of his role claim so far, and my positive reads on him have largely focused on Luna's perspective of him in their guild chat as well as the fact that he showed up in Thoth's 3 possible players who were SJW. I'm still tempted to lean on the former, but I don't know enough about what informed Luna's opinion of him to call that. And Thoth did clearly include 1 other scum player on his list of 3, so much as I don't get why he'd include 2, I can't really dismiss that as a possibility. It's a rough read, and the weakest of the two.
Mestari is a bit more interesting. I don't think it's possible he let these claims get through, Mestari's got too much knowledge of the show to let Alyssa and Thoth claim like they did. But my current working theory is that, at least up to a point (when Alyssa was lynched), one scum wasn't in the scum chat. It would hardly be a first for someone to pretend to be Silenced (I'm noting that there was no public announcement in the OP of Mestari's being Silenced) to get towncred, and I can see him actively hunting other scum to activate his role.