Because it there's no scum in the POE, following it will cost us the game.
Thank you!
So... you're arguing that the lack of a lynch flip denied town valuable information that outweighs the gain of an extra DP? I mean, if that's your view, you're welcome to it, but I don't agree.
No. I am saying that I think you VTNLed to avoid suspicion in case you voted out a townie, which you most likely would, while manipulating the numbers where you could still win with three more mislynches, and denying town information from the flip or saving a town-harmful neutral would be potential bonuses.
I think losing another player would have been more damaging, especially since we were far more likely to lynch town given that no one was on the same page about a lynch wagon.
Agreed, but see above.
I also just don't get how you come up with scenarios like this, that we somehow "crunched the numbers" and determined that there was value in denying ourselves information to simultaneously deny town a flip that would have put them one step closer to MYLO. It's another instance of WIFOM, but it would be some baffling math on our parts to conclude that that's the best possible outcome from DP1.
The math is noticing that you could VTNL and still win with as many mislynches as a Caroler claim could give you. I would not call that baffling. Yes, a mislynch would have put town one step closer to MYLO, but you can lose a battle and still win the war.