This is an interesting way to look at it, and it made me curious. Firstly, I'd image that those that tend to win debates stick around for longer, so they would tend to be farming wins from people that end up losing a few and possibly disappearing, so we probably wouldn't just see a 50-50 split constant from active members, but higher percentage of wins from those that are active. If that is the case ultimately, I wonder then if on a long enough timeline we'd see The Pareto Principle true in this case, similarly to how strangely accurate it seems to be in business and other areas. In other words, would we eventually see 80% of debate wins come from about 20% of the community? Just a glance at the top 50 of the leaderboard (and I realize this isn't perfect cuz of legacy stats but if we assume it stayed consistent) then without actually crunching the numbers, this does seem quite plausible and likely.
This probably only interests me, but I find it quite amusing.
Didn't notice it. Lol.
Well, at least this site is going to last longer than Dart.
Misterio wrote:
Didn't notice it. Lol.
Well, at least this site is going to last longer than Dart.
Now, there's a prediction, which I assume will depend upon whosoever funds and operates this site, and their future aspirations.
I like to win my debates,
But I think I lose more than I tie.
I like to debate because sometimes I want to understand something, and debating people is a useful method to accomplish such.
I mean it's the same with chess. And the way elo works, most ppl will end up going against people at a skill level where they'll lose half the time.
Stock trading is also zero sum, but that doesn't stop people from participating.
And losing elo isn't even losing anything in reality, it's a game. Plenty of people like playing games. People who participate in ultrarated are usually decent debaters even if they lose and they get better with experience, so I'd say in terms of "honor" or whatever, even people at 1500 in ultrarated are ahead of the curve.
Although a future formula might account for learning with matches and give like an extra point or two after your first few ultrarated matches.