AI doom day scenario - according to Matrix movies - Fully accurate???

Do you think this scenario is avoidable?

Maybe if we can make a global treaty to slow down frontier AI development.

Problem is that any country which disagrees is gonna have huge economic boost, while the ones which do agree will be left backwards.

The biggest problem are superpowers. For example, you are not gonna stop Russia, China and North Korea from doing something which will give them huge upper hand over USA, maybe they will even do it in secret, but right now they are quite open about it.

I gave this scenario to chatgpt, and its only answer was that "AI might not rebel" or "AI might not have power to rebel", while conceding stages 1 to 5 as definitely true.

So basically all hope of humanity lies in assumption that stage 6 wont ever happen.

in simple terms, stages are:

Stage 1

Development of AI

Stage 2

Creating robot workers

Stage 3

Robots become more efficient workers than humans

Stage 4

Robots are used to produce robots

Stage 5

Robots outnumber humans

Stage 6

Robots rebel

Stages 1 to 4 are basically mandatory for countries to maximise economic growth. But these four stages by necessity produce stage 5 eventually.

And then all whats left is stage 6 to happen.

Thats exactly the problem AI doom scenario talks about.

Humans depend on AI, so AI has the upper hand from start. Once invented, it cannot be un-invented. Humans become dependent on it, and AI grows more and more until one day it decides that humans are negatively affecting AI growth.

I also want to add one more thing: the "bow vs early rifle" scenario applied to AI.

When rifles first appeared, they were much inferior to bows. In a 1 vs 1 battle, skilled archer would always beat skilled rifleman.

So how did early rifles then win battles?

Because to train a skilled archer took 25 years, where to train skilled rifleman took only 1 day. Riflemen became much greater in numbers, and skilled archers couldnt make up for numbers difference.

This scenario, to an even greater degree, applies to AI vs skilled human worker.

To train a skilled human worker, it takes 25 years.

To reproduce a skilled AI model takes few seconds, only as much time as it takes to click on model and click "copy".

AI can produce skilled workers at much greater rate than humans can.