Lack of sleep last night is really getting to me, but I'll at least give some basic thoughts on what's been said recently and how I'm seeing everyone shaking out so far.
I'm appreciating Bleys' analysis a good deal, particularly that big post on DP1. My read on Bleys going into this DP was just little informed since they hadn't posted enough to form anything meaningful, but this second head is doing work.
I had the same response Bleys did initially to Brand responding rather positively to my reasoning for voting Martin, though it seems like enough of an outlier that I'm hesitant to scumread it. Getting on the same page as me for a vote that, at the time, didn't look like it was going to result in a lynch anyway doesn't make him look too opportunistic.
Llewella's grown more town to me a little over the course of the DP. Especially given what I think they're avoiding saying (could be wrong, but I don't think I am), I get the aim and it doesn't seem manufactured. I'd like to see how things play out with claims before forming a more solid opinion on her.
That leaves Caine and Random who have stood out to me a good deal for distinct reasons, all of which I've already expressed. Random not having posted for most of today doesn't help develop any new info on him. I'm hesitant to read the focus on mechanics involving a 3P as unlikely for Caine to consider outside of being scum (from past experience with him, I think it's plausible that's NAI), but it doesn't help. In general, drawing any focus to a potential 3P at this point does rub me the wrong way, even if it's just to say how scum might perceive them.
Order probably goes (from most to least scummy):
Random
Caine
Brand
Bleys
Llewella
There's some room for movement in there. Might be worth getting more claims at this point, and I think I've come around to having the Jailor out themselves.