Those aren't rules of induction, those are rules of bad induction.
Savant · 19 days ago
Those aren't rules of induction, those are rules of bad induction.
Savant · 19 days ago
I think you are conflating induction with just bad argumentation/fallacies? Proper induction would hedge and account for uncertainty, while proper deduction accounts for uncertainty in the base rules. A lot of super forecasters probably use inductive logic effectively. And you can use inductive logic to generate better hypotheses, which means it can increase the probability of something being true.
For example, inductive logic makes it pretty likely P is not NP, even though it's not proven. Additionally if you see mostly black cats in your neighborhood it makes it more likely they're all black, for all you knew before they were all purple but you eliminated a lot of alternatives.
There's a lot we can't prove that is nonetheless still likely, so induction is necessary.
Savant · 19 days ago
Of course, but it still remains an issue.
Your post is specifically blaming the issue on inductive logic even though we both agree that the issue is with the argument and not the logic used.
If starting premise is based on laws of logic, or on point that violations of laws of logic are a fallacy, starting premise is always true to anyone who accepts that logic exists and is a foundation of everything
"People who agree with the starting premise a priori will agree with the argument." Yes I agree, and since we can convert inductive logic to deductive logic without changing the argument, we can do the same there.
I think you clearly agree with this, since your posts are based on examples and not collections of syllogisms. Heck, your initial post is almost entirely inductive logic.
Savant · 19 days ago
My point is the issue isn't unique to inductive reasoning. Additionally, you could take valid deductive reasoning and phrase it as inductive reasoning and it would be a good argument. The format doesn't determine the strength of the argument. Also you will always have unproved premises in order to avoid circular reasoning or an infinite chain.
Savant · 19 days ago
It works in a way of "ok, so far everywhere we observed, A was true, so A is true everywhere, even where we didn't observe"
Isn't this deductive reasoning?
P1: If A was true everywhere we observed, A is true everywhere
P2: A was true everywhere we observed.
C: A is true everywhere
It's bad reasoning, but deductive reasoning is only as good as it's premises.
Savant · 20 days ago
Thank you
Savant · 21 days ago
Yes I agree, but I don't think that is responsive to fauxlaw's point. If someone is attributing their species or sex to how they dress, that's not how sex and species are really defined. You can say the biological attributes are ambiguous, but that's not really the point if someone is attributing sex to something totally separate from biological attributes altogether. Let's say someone's guilt or innocence is ambiguous, and someone says "they are innocent because their zodiac sign is Leo and Leos don't kill their cubs." You could acknowledge that their guilt or innocence is ambiguous while also acknowledging that their zodiac sign is totally irrelevant.
Savant · 21 days ago
Expecting "biological justification" when sex (much less gender) isnt built exclusively on chromosomes or genitalia is oversimplification to the point of being wrong.
Setting aside the point about gender for a moment (which I don't disagree with, but it's a separate point), even if sex isn't based exclusively on chromosomes or genitalia, that doesn't mean there can't be a biological justification for it. Sex is based on biological attributes, even if there's not a specific agreed upon cutoff. If a cis woman is infertile and doesn't have XX chromosomes, she can still point to other biological attributes.
A common argument is that you can't strictly define a chair in a way that excludes all non chairs (I'm not sure it's impossible, but it's difficult, sure). But even then, if you have a chair, you could still point to attributes it has that make it a chair.
Savant · 22 days ago
Biological sex isnt an absolute binary.
I'm not sure how this makes fauxlaw's statement wrong. You believe biological sex exists, so someone can be a man or a woman. Someone who has male genitalia, XY chromosomes, and other physical characteristics typical of males could say they are the biological sex of female, but at that point we're just saying sex doesn't exist anymore.
For example, let's say I make the argument that I'm blind despite being fully able to see. Blindness is a spectrum, but that's irrelevant to the issue of whether me calling myself blind makes me blind.
And sure you might say that the individual with male genitalia, XY chromosomes, and other physical characteristics typical of males has a gender that doesn't match her sex, but at that point why appeal to sex being a spectrum at all? It's all irrelevant, right?
Savant · 23 days ago
That opinion doesn't count unless you vote on the debate.
https://www.debatecraft.com/debates/d/cd/the-official-remybrown-trial-resolved-remybrown-ought-to-be-permanently-banned-from-debatecraft
Savant · 23 days ago
I was around when it was used unironically in email chains....
Yeah, guess that would make a difference. I've only seen it being referenced on Reddit. And a number of parodies elsewhere like this one.
Savant · 23 days ago
Yes. Nothing in this thread suggests to me this is joking.
I assumed everyone has seen that copypasta at one point or another. Every time I've seen it it's been used as a joke.
Savant · 23 days ago
without knowledge on what exactly counts as pure motivation, humans have no any chance of ever being certain in the first place
Punishing evil requires a more pure motivation than basic good actions. Like if your motivations are imperfect, it's still better to not steal/lie/etc.
If you want to divorce Christianity from causation chain, fine, but that merely makes it incoherent.
Making different normative claims about the causation chain isn't the same as ignoring it.
The basis of all punishments is that the one causing X is responsible for X, and thus gets punished for X.
In this particular moral framework, the directness and context of the cause matters.
Suffering is evil regardless, and I don't see why Omnibenevolent God had to make countless animals suffer.
If someone deserves to not suffer, or if motivations for causing suffering are impure, then suffering is evil. But there are a lot of long-term goals like building virtue and it seems unclear what the right amount of suffering is to achieve that. That leaves the "optimal actions" for God to take ambiguous, which is not the same as proving a self-contradiction within Christianity.
If they are not being punished for a choice, then they are being punished for something which isn't their choice. Take your pick.
They're not being punished for a particular action...if Person A and Person B are equally disposed to be violent and one gets in a fight due to random chance and kills someone, while the other person would have done the same under similar circumstances, I'm not sure we can say the violent one is an inherently better person than the other.
You defined evil as not having pure motivations.
I believe I said punishing people without pure motivations is evil, not that it's the only form of evil.
Does God need to create 10 billion different Hitlers just so that each Hitler can be it's own version of Hitler?
Now we're getting into if it's bad to create humans since their nature is inclined toward being sinful. Again, there are a lot of potentially positive effects of humans existing such as building virtue or learning; I'm not saying we have any idea of the "optimal" number of humans to create but that again leads to ambiguity, which is not the same as proving a self-contradiction within Christianity.
God already knows which people are going to be evil and suffer forever. Their creation is pointless to everyone. It achieves nothing other than increasing amount of evil in the world.
Gaining pleasure and being perfect aren't necessarily the only positive things which can exist. People can learn from others or create things. And it's possible that an individual being given an opportunity to be good has value in and of itself, even if they don't take it.
Savant · 23 days ago
This story is known to be made up.
Yes, it's a well-known copypasta...maybe I just need to be more clear when I'm not being serious.
Savant · 23 days ago
By same logic, makes it difficult to judge our own actions
I'd say humans have better intuitions about what they themselves should do than about God.
causation chain tracks responsibility to God no matter what
That's a normative claim, not part of Christianity.
It is. Animals experience suffering.
That doesn't mean the suffering is a punishment for something, it's an effect of the Fall.
Your argument was that free will serves as justification for punishment. However, many who never got any informed choice ever are punished and experience suffering. So God is punishing people for something they didnt even choose, not that anyone even chose to have bad intentions when its not even possible to determine what good intentions are.
I said people are inherently evil by nature and disposed to make bad choices, not that they are being punished for a specific choice.
God is punishing people because they are creating evil motivations
No, he's punishing them for being intrinsically evil, which isn't the same thing.
No, they are an inevitable side effect of creating free will which leans to evil motivations. God could have created only free will which has good motivations. If he couldnt and if all free will naturally goes to motivations God considers evil, then God is again setting up all people for failure
If God created people differently they wouldn't be "them" in the first place. If people exist they can attempt to at least become more virtuous, but there is none of that if they don't exist.
Savant · 23 days ago
Does evil exist?
The university professor challenged his students with this question. Did God create everything that exists? A student bravely replied, "Yes, he did!"
"God created everything? The professor asked.
"Yes sir", the student replied.
The professor answered, "If God created everything, then God created evil since evil exists, and according to the principal that our works define who we are then God is evil". The student became quiet before such an answer. The professor was quite pleased with himself and boasted to the students that he had proven once more that the Christian faith was a myth.
Another student raised his hand and said, "Can I ask you a question professor?"
"Of course", replied the professor.
The student stood up and asked, "Professor, does cold exist?"
"What kind of question is this? Of course it exists. Have you never been cold?" The students snickered at the young man's question.
The young man replied, "In fact sir, cold does not exist. According to the laws of physics, what we consider cold is in reality the absence of heat. Every body or object is susceptible to study when it has or transmits energy, and heat is what makes a body or matter have or transmit energy. Absolute zero (-460 degrees F) is the total absence of heat; all matter becomes inert and incapable of reaction at that temperature. Cold does not exist. We have created this word to describe how we feel if we have no heat."
The student continued, "Professor, does darkness exist?"
The professor responded, "Of course it does."
The student replied, "Once again you are wrong sir, darkness does not exist either. Darkness is in reality the absence of light. Light we can study, but not darkness. In fact we can use Newton's prism to break white light into many colors and study the various wavelengths of each color. You cannot measure darkness. A simple ray of light can break into a world of darkness and illuminate it. How can you know how dark a certain space is? You measure the amount of light present. Isn't this correct? Darkness is a term used by man to describe what happens when there is no light present."
Finally the young man asked the professor, "Sir, does evil exist?"
Now uncertain, the professor responded, "Of course as I have already said. We see it every day. It is in the daily example of man's inhumanity to man. It is in the multitude of crime and violence everywhere in the world. These manifestations are nothing else but evil."
To this the student replied, "Evil does not exist sir, or at least it does not exist unto itself. Evil is simply the absence of God. It is just like darkness and cold, a word that man has created to describe the absence of God. God did not create evil. Evil is not like faith, or love that exist just as does light and heat. Evil is the result of what happens when man does not have God's love present in his heart. It's like the cold that comes when there is no heat or the darkness that comes when there is no light."
The professor sat down.
The young man's name -- Albert Einstein.
Savant · 23 days ago
Being motivated by justice isnt same as being motivated by empathy. One can have one without another easily, and having both makes it impossible to determine what to do when they come in conflict.
Not impossible, I'd say we just don't know which should take precedence when which makes it pretty difficult to judge God's actions.
If virtue ethics deny causation chain, that merely makes virtue ethics incoherent. You cant even judge people without a causation chain to begin with.
Virtue ethics isn't denying causation exists, it's making different normative claims about the causation.
this is incoherent moral framework. You cannot have two moral principles without a third one which decides which of previous two are chosen when in conflict
I don't think I claimed to know exactly what the optimal action is. We have some idea of the guiding principles the Christian God uses, but that's not the same thing. My response is probably gonna be an unsatisfying appeal to mysticism, but I'm not making a claim that x, y, and z is virtuous, I'm saying I don't think you have effectively shown the morality attributed to the Christian God to be a self-contradiction.
As for infants and animals being evil, God didnt even give them intelligence to be able to decide, so punishing them for something they didnt choose negates free will argument as well.
I don't think this is addressing my argument, which is that people are intrinsically disposed to make evil decisions when given the opportunity. If we're looking at the Christian framework, then people have souls that only God is properly equipped to judge and is a more impartial way of judging people than actions which are affected by moral luck. And the idea is everyone's soul is evil, but they make decisions that appear virtuous due to divine providence or common grace. With animals it's not a punishment as I said, but there's a difference between animals just not having the opportunity to make choices and being objectively virtuous. I don't know that an entity that lacks virtue or ill intent can deserve something good or bad in terms of reward or punishment, those require a way of judging inclinations.
P1. God = creating evil motivations
P2. creating evil motivations = deserves punishment
C. God = deserves punishment.
I disagree with P2. I think the evil motivations are an inevitable side effect of creating free will.
regular folks mimicking arguments 'approved by' people who should know better
The problem is that these arguments are disingenuous emotional appeals which typically bypass rationality
I mean, there's gonna be an endless supply of these disingenuous arguments for the forseeable future. I'm not sure that going for the low-hanging fruit is going to make much progress in actually solving most of these issues.
Savant · 23 days ago
What are pure motivations?
Being motivated solely by justice/empathy instead of selfishness.
If God created evil, he did evil, so he must punish himself to punish evil.
God created people who did evil. So he indirectly caused it to exist, but that's not the same thing as doing evil himself under virtue ethics; once God creates someone they are responsible for their own actions. If the criticism is that God allows that person to cause suffering toward other people, well those other people are also evil if you accept Christian doctrines like human inclination to sin. If the idea is God is harming an evil person by creating them, I'm not sure you can really say that. If God created them to be good, I'm not sure it's even "them" anymore and to an extent human nature as it is may be a more pure result of free will. If good couldn't be chosen through free will, I question whether it's even good anymore. Your premise here is relying on an outside consequentialist moral framework, not showing Christian ethics to be a self-contradiction.
But we also see evil which is not instantly punished, so God fails that goal too.
Because he has a mix of different good motivations. Allowing someone not to suffer could help build virtue down the road, and it's not totally clear today which virtues are the most important. That leaves the optimal choice for God to make a little ambiguous, but it also makes it difficult to say he's not making the optimal choice, whatever that may be.
Further, God is punishing children, infants, animals...ect. You would have to label all these as evil to support your argument.
I don't think they are evil in the sense of doing evil, but this is due to lack of opportunity or moral luck. Hitler as a baby was innocent in the sense of not having killed people yet, but I don't think he was purely good either. Someone who was purely good would have the strength of character and virtue not to let themselves become evil. For example, I don't think someone can be called good for not killing people just because it's never in their interest to do so, any more than a drunk driver becomes innocent just because they get lucky and don't hit anyone. If God judges people based on their actions despite knowing what they actually would do in all situations, that seems less fair than judging people's inclinations. So if we're working in the Christian framework, then we're already assuming people are far less virtuous than they appear, since the appearance of virtue is due to common grave/divine providence and moral luck. It's a bit harder to judge with animals, since they are never in a position to rationally judge the morality of actions in the first place, but that's simply lack of opportunity to do a bad thing, which is not the same as being virtuous.
I'm not even arguing these moral premises are super intuitive (though if we're judging intuitions, most people believe in God despite evil existing), but today's secular morality wouldn't be intuitive to people 1,000 years ago either. So I don't think we should expect whatever the objectively true morality is to be intuitive if our own intuitions change so wildly over millennia and people can't even agree on intuitions about deontology vs utilitarianism or even moral realism. The problem of evil only really works as a criticism if it can show the ethics of a religion to be a self-contradiction, and I don't think your arguments succeed at that.
Savant · 23 days ago
Your position here is that God is always, in all instances, justified in enabling something unjustified, and that everything "unjustified" which exists is actually at same time somehow justified to exist from God's point of view.
As I said, the morality depends on the actor and their motivations. I'm not trying to prove that this is how morality works, I'm saying this is a coherent moral framework. Since you came into this trying to prove God is evil, for that argument to work, you have to show Christian morality to be a contradiction. But you haven't shown that, you're simply appealing to a specific moral framework and saying God is evil on that framework.
Further, if we define good as "reducing evil", then God creating all evil has only increased evil.
If we define evil as "causing suffering", God caused all suffering.
Why are we defining good and evil this way? I think it's overly simplistic. I don't see you arguing for why I should accept your framework rather than a virtue ethics framework, and if your argument is that God can be proven to be evil, you have to show why we need to accept your framework rather than the form of virtue ethics I've been proposing, or you have to show that God is failing to be moral even in said virtue ethics framework.
his actions contain evil
I disagree that an action resulting in evil down the road automatically makes it evil. The detective analogy was a counterexample to this; the detectives cause the criminals to snitch which is a selfish decision, and the selfishness is bad. That doesn't make the detectives bad. You keep saying that's not analogous to God, but the point isn't that God is exactly like the detectives, it's that an action leading to someone else being evil does not make the initial actor evil.
As for "greater good", motivations and actions are both judged by how much evil and good they cause
No that's utilitarianism, not virtue ethics, and I didn't say God follows utilitarianism. Virtues are things like justice or love or selflessness, they concern the motivation of an action not the results. Obviously I think on a majority of secular moral frameworks, God isn't perfectly good, but that's irrelevant if we are working within the framework of Christianity itself and trying to prove a contradiction.
you havent said what counts as "good motivations". If its punishing evil, God needs to punish himself because his actions contain evil.
No, this is circular reasoning. If God's motivations are purely punishing evil, and he does that, then his motivations are pure, and he's not evil, so he doesn't have to punish himself. If I'm reading your argument correctly, it's that God is evil for not punishing himself, which he needs to do cause he's evil. That's begging the question.
Savant · 23 days ago
he is enabling something which isnt justified.
As I said, on virtue ethics, enabling someone else to make a non-justified choice can be justified. The morality of it depends on your ethical system, you clearly have a different one, but that's not proving the Christian God to be immoral.
Savant · 23 days ago
God also enabled something which isnt justified, as God enables everything
Enabling a bad motivation can be justified; having a bad motivation isn't.
the problem with this is that God also wants for people to suffer for no other reason than his own. the only difference is that when God does it, you call it justice.
Or if it's the Christian God, because he is actually motivated by justice? We could discss a non-all-good God, but then we aren't talking about the Christian God anymore.
Savant · 23 days ago
this comparison doesnt really work in framework of "all suffering is justified".
That wasn't my framework, you are oversimplifying it. I said God is justified in enabling suffering, not that humans are.
If God wants for person A to cause suffering to person B, I dont see why person A would be considered evil for doing what God wants for person A to do.
Because their motivations are morally relevant. You can say they aren't, but you haven't proven that, you are just not discussing the Christian view of morality anymore.
And what makes a motivation evil? If its because it causes suffering
No, it could be selfish reasons, or personal satisfaction from seeing suffering, as opposed to justice.
the causation chain doesnt stop just because its indirect. If you made a robot which you knew would go around killing people, responsibility would be on you because causation chain leads to you. Maybe you would not be directly killing people, but indirectly counts just as much
But a robot doesn't have free will. This comparison doesn't work.
Savant · 23 days ago
If all suffering is justified punishment, then no action is evil and no person does any evil action.
No, because human motivations are not fully pure. If you arrest criminals because you enjoy kidnapping and seeing people suffer, then you could still be a bad person even though a good person arresting the criminals could be justified.
Person comes to God and asks "Am I evil?" and God says "yes". Person asks "Did you create me?" God answers "Yes". Person answers "So you created evil".
Indirectly though which is not the same thing. God created people and people created evil.
Savant · 23 days ago
snitching results in good (harm prevented)
In Christianity, God has a duty to punish sin. So evil people suffering is justice based on the motivations of the entity causing said suffering, in fact much less than they deserve.
God enabling all evil actions is. It makes him responsible for all evil which occurs.
Again, responsibility for a thing has different implications depending on who is doing the thing and what their motivations are.
causing evil makes someone responsible for that evil. If it were not so, there would be nothing to judge evil actions by
You can judge evil actions by the motivations for them. Causing something indirectly has different implications depending on the motivations for doing so.
Savant · 23 days ago
If humans harming each other isn't justified, then God helping make that happen isn't justified either.
I've already addressed this with the analogy of detectives getting criminals to snitch.
C logically follows.
God enables evil actions is not the same as saying God is evil.
God causes that, so saying it's not justified is merely saying God isn't justified.
God creating people who have impure motivations is not the same as having impure motivations. It's like saying God creates people who aren't all knowing therefore God can't be all knowing.
Savant · 23 days ago
Please vote on ultrarated debates when you get the chance. We need a few more votes before next round can start.
Reminder that it's profile then badges then vote quiz then once you pass under badges you can click to be assigned a debate.
Savant · 23 days ago
If God says "it is wrong to kill innocents" and then goes around killing innocents, God is unjustified by his own words
God says it's wrong for humans to kill each other outside of certain circumstances, that's not the same as saying he's not justified in doing so.
If God does evil, what his motivations are is irrelevant. Doing evil makes you evil. What excuse you make up to do evil, doesn't change the fact that you are doing evil.
The motivations for harming a bad person are what makes it evil though. Since humans are also evil and have impure motivations, killing other people isn't a justified punishment for sin. But since God is motivated purely by judgment, he can punish humans and be justified. This is how virtue ethics works.
Savant · 23 days ago
I don't need to prove that morality exists, because Christians and Muslims already believe it exists, so I can just use their version of morality.
Well their version of morality says everything God does is justified. So kind of defeats your point.
This makes no sense in neither Christianity nor Islam, who both command people to save each other from evil
if people deserve to suffer, then nothing which happens isn't strictly "evil" to begin with
Humans aren't in a position to punish each other for sin, so its more virtuous to save each other. It matters a lot the purity of your motivations, and no one's motivations are fully pure except God.
it is God who at the very least enabled that evil. So he is still indirect cause
Again, it can be justified for non evil ppl to enable evil people to harm each other (like detectives getting criminals to snitch) even if the evil ppl harming each other is itself not virtuous.
Savant · 24 days ago
It's not logically possible. This is mainly because God also chose to create evil people, and is as result indirectly responsible for their evil.
I disagree that any of the moral claims you made here are logically proven or that their negation is impossible. A good number of philosophers are moral antirealists. We can't even get people to agree on whether morality exists or not, much less what it would be good or bad for God to do. Depending on whether you're a deontologist, virtue ethicist, utilitarian, etc. there are different answers to whether indirectly causing a thing implies responsibility for it. Particularly if you are talking about Christian belief systems that include total depravity or original sin, most of your claims become a lot more tenuous. I think it would be contradictory to take a secular framework and say you don't have 100% certainty on what's moral, but then say you know for a certainty what it would be moral or immoral for God to do if moral realism were true...if you had that kind of hypothetical knowledge I think you could probably just prove moral realism outright.
Evil = causing bad things, enabling bad things, (all which God does)
You're ignoring cases where a non-evil person can allow evil people to harm each other. Like it's good for detectives to get criminals to snitch on each other, even if the snitching itself is motivated by self-preservation and isn't virtuous. That's a highly oversimplified analogy, but if you accept original sin or total depravity, then God is justified in allowing people to suffer since everyone's natural inclination is to be evil and saving them from suffering isn't strictly "good" unless it serves some higher purpose. People might appear non-evil, but I think that comes down to some combination of moral luck, and (if you are looking at the Christian view) common grace or divine providence, which gives people the illusion of being more virtuous than they are. God's motivation for allowing suffering can be pure since his motives are, but it's still evil for humans to harm each other and call it "punishment for sin" since their motives will always be impure and they aren't in a place to judge due to also being inherently evil.
As a challenge to Muslims and Christians, I challenge them to name 1 good thing their God did.
Created Costco $1.50 hotdog.