Originally, Kohai and I leaned toward killing Lunatic first, but Magic wanted Julian instead. I actually don't entirely remember why, but it ended up being a great choice, even if the game didn't go our way in the end.
A-Brand · 4 months ago
Originally, Kohai and I leaned toward killing Lunatic first, but Magic wanted Julian instead. I actually don't entirely remember why, but it ended up being a great choice, even if the game didn't go our way in the end.
A-Brand · 4 months ago
Mikal wrote:
To clarify. I did what I did because I asked and was allowed. If the mod allows it. Its not bending rules or some shit. The account login was a mistake. He asked to not force a mass claim of who people are. So yes. I asked. Yes I was allowed
And yeah j was accidentally logged in on my account and posted by accident. Kohai did as well. Rotating two accounts on a phone at work. That was an oops
I can forgive that, but Mag clearly established that he wanted us to stop referring to each other by our normal usernames after you suggested the mass identity claim, which you pretty blatantly ignored in the post from your regular account. That's why Mag was raging at you. Not just the accidental wrong account
A-Brand · 4 months ago
A-Bleys wrote:
A-Random wrote:
Im going to have a read on how i have a read
When tim subbed in made the game way easier to read.
Part of why subs are inherently pro town. Inactives need to be weeded out of the community because mafia cannot strategize around a player being replaced. Half of Mafia is controlling texture as the game occurs, so when someone gets to join and reread the game fresh with knowledge of flips, that's an inherent imbalance
This is true. You subbing in totally threw our game off. It quickly became apparent we weren't going ML you like we were hoping to
A-Brand · 4 months ago
A-Random wrote:
Was thoth actually sick or did he rage quit
He was sick, you asshole. Stop fucking angleshooting and bending the rules all the time
A-Brand · 4 months ago
Well, despite the fact that we lost and I have won before as scum, I'd say this was probably my best scum game overall. Thoth left me in a really bad spot when I subbed in which I was NOT prepared for, yet I managed to stay alive. I'm proud of myself for that, even if it didn't work out in the end
A-Brand · 4 months ago
can be willing to sheep you guys but I am really stuck on Caine shoving Fiona to death. It was beyond bussing to the point it had to be a wolf intentionally eating another wolf. Thats just not a normal play and a huge deal in my head.
Then vote Caine
A-Brand · 4 months ago
A-Caine wrote:
A-Brand wrote:
The town cannot mislynch here. If anyone has any reason to TR Caine, let me know it. That's where I'm placing my vote
VTL: A-Caine
See. I told you it is exactly Random / BRand
Right, that's why I scumread Random just as much. Makes sense
A-Brand · 4 months ago
The town cannot mislynch here. If anyone has any reason to TR Caine, let me know it. That's where I'm placing my vote
VTL: A-Caine
A-Brand · 4 months ago
They avoided anything to do with the dead mafias train D2 and just threw a vote on the pile at the very last second to be on the right wagon.
Unless I'm misunderstanding you, this isn't true. I never actually got on Fiona's wagon D2, though I supported it. Just was waiting for Bleys, then I went inactive by EoD.
A-Brand · 4 months ago
Gun to your head, it's all up to you and you alone, who do you shoot?
A-Brand · 4 months ago
A-Random wrote:
If I mod kill myself will the dp continue?
Wtf is this? Can we just play normally?
A-Brand · 4 months ago
I'm here. I was having a lovely time with family and then a long drive home, but I promised I'd be back by EoD. Give me like two minutes to speed read
A-Brand · 4 months ago
I'm about to go eat dinner with my family, but I will be on by EoD to vote, I promise.
A-Brand · 4 months ago
Hey, I'm sorry that I've been so absent. There is a reason I didn't sign up for this game initially. I started typing out reads last night, didn't finish and crashed. Skimming through what's happened, I'm more or less where I was before.
First of all, Deirdre is town. I don't think I need to justify that conclusion.
I think Llewella is likely town as well. Their explanation about how they softed being VT seems believable to me, and skimming through an ISO looking at their votes, they don't come off as being opportunistic at all. There's always a chance that I'm wrong and I can expand on this read if anyone wants me to, but other than Deirdre, Llewella is the one I'm most confident of being town.
That leaves just three players and three possible teams FMPOV. I think it might be more useful for me to consider teams here.
Bleys/Caine - Both of these players had behavior on D1 that I did not like; Bleys at the beginning and Caine at the end. Caine also had a focus on voting Bleys during DP2 that in retrospect may have been a distancing move. Bleys also ends #134 by sussing Random, Caine, myself, and Llewella in that order, with the Random/Caine team being specifically floated earlier in #128. Seems like a plausible team to me, but the problem is that it'd be really risky for Bleys to throw so much shade on their own teammate, even if they said they preferred Random. They also made a couple of sharp, non-obvious observations about Caine that feel really unlikely and risky coming from Caine's partner.
Bleys/Random - See what I said at the end there; every reason I have to doubt a Bleys/Caine team is a reason to prefer a Bleys/Random team. The problem with a Bleys/Random team is that Random is still Bleys's most preferred lynch. I have a really hard time imagining scum Bleys bussing Random here when a mislynch on me or Caine would probably be easier and also win the game for scum. I think I can write off this team as being too unlikely, and I don't feel good about the first one I mentioned, either. That leaves me with...
Caine/Random - I know Deirdre said they don't quite buy that it's theater. I disagree. The arguing between them feels very overblown, and the sudden pivot from Random calling Caine a townlock during D2 to sussing him at the beginning of this day. Honestly, the whole thing with Caine suddenly voting Oberon, Random townreading him for it, then hard focusing on Oberon himself feels like a ploy one or both of them townread for reasons of "scum wouldn't vote for someone they blackmailed". But the wagon on Oberon never went anywhere and I don't think it was likely to in the first place, which makes this pretty weak. I think the scum team may have realized this, and decided to do a bussing ploy instead.
Honestly, the more I think about it, the harder I find it to believe in any pairing other than Random/Caine right now. Small chance of Caine/Bleys or that I've just been duped by a good scum performance from Llewella. But I feel pretty good about this solve tbh. I could vote either way here, lowkey tempted to vote Random first just for the disrespect they've shown for the rules.
A-Brand · 5 months ago
A-Caine wrote:
Can we please get some activity going?
Sorry, I've been especially busy at work today, especially for a Friday. It's been a hell of a week for me. Still got some stuff to finish up before my weekend can truly start; I'll share my thoughts when I get home
A-Brand · 5 months ago
I’ll give more of an analysis when I get home from work. I wanna put my vote and pressure here for now.
1) I really dislike his constant angle shooting, OGI, and blatant rule violations
Lowkey I am tempted to do the same. I appreciate and respect Mag for his leniency, but I personally would have modkilled for that post.
My intuition is that scum are between (Random, Caine, Bleys). I could see any possible pairing among the three. Bleys does look much better in my eyes since the replacement but I'm always a little bit wary of highly experienced players (which the new Bleys clearly is). Cf Cerulean in his first two scum games on DART.
A-Brand · 5 months ago
It's also why I was sus of the other VT claims. I wasn't expecting such a Vanilla-heavy game.
A-Brand · 5 months ago
A-Deirdre wrote:
A-Llewella wrote:
We should wrap up claims before we move into votes imo
Agreed. I believe you, Random and Caine have all claimed VT if I remember correctly. We all know I'm the Regent. That leaves Brand and Bleys. You guys both need to step up and claim.
Sure, I actually meant to claim earlier this DP. I am... A VT. I was trying to act like I had a good PR that I didn't want to out in hopes of baiting the NK. Obviously, it didn't work.
A-Brand · 5 months ago
A-Bleys wrote:
I do not understand this point. I hadn't joined a wagon up to that point, yeah, but (1) I was still playing catch up, and (2) the only real wagon at that point other than myself was Flora, whom I hadn't scumread. Plus, I had already stated my reasons to sus Martin earlier, so it wasnt mere "sheeping" like you suggest. This framing feels dishonest.
Why did you feel the need to wait for Deidre to comment on Martin to vote there if you already scumread Martin?
I didn't vote Martin immediately after I started scumreading them because I was still playing catch up at the time. I did vote for Martin not long after I logged on the following morning and gave up on getting fully caught up before EoD.
A-Bleys wrote:
Further, did you feel a Martin wagon would become viable that close to the end of the DP, or was your vote a statement
I wasn't confident it would become viable, but I was hoping it would
A-Brand · 5 months ago
1013 from Brand is icky. Sheeping Deidre on what is not even a wagon at that point at the end of the DP after spending the entire day not being on a real wagon is gross behavior.
I do not understand this point. I hadn't joined a wagon up to that point, yeah, but (1) I was still playing catch up, and (2) the only real wagon at that point other than myself was Flora, whom I hadn't scumread. Plus, I had already stated my reasons to sus Martin earlier, so it wasnt mere "sheeping" like you suggest. This framing feels dishonest.
A-Brand · 5 months ago
3- They absolutely avoided the shit out of touching the Fiona situation. I get having focus elsewhere but never touching the major day subject while hard focusing on such a random tangent? This is the most concerning thing to me. Looks like a wolf who is frozen and does not know how to deal with a team mate going down so they say nothing then just slap on a vote when its clear they are cooked for the post flip optics.
I also thought this was odd tbh.
A-Brand · 5 months ago
A-Caine wrote:
One thing giving me pause is this post
https://www.debatecraft.com/mafia/c/active-games/posts/5k/amber-mafia---dp2?page=18&comment_number=535
does wolf Fiona really put both partners in this list? The only explanation for such retarded play is if scum were confident they can win. I do fear we MIs cleared someone so I want to go over this game with a fine tooth comb
It's not impossible that Fiona put both teammates in the list. They were basically just trolling by EoD. That being said, Deirdre is the only player alive that I just can't see being scum at all (for obvious reasons). But I do instinctively agree that his list includes the scummiest three, which does make me wonder
A-Brand · 5 months ago
Hey, I'm here. Sorry I've been inactive the past couple days. It's been a rough week for me, and tomorrow isn't looking good, either. Catching up in the meantime, will be more active later tonight
A-Brand · 5 months ago
Everyone else thinks its self resolving but part of me kinda does hope you are scum and this just ends tonight so I feel somewhat validated
I really do not understand what sort of hypothetical you are getting at here. What is the scenario in which Oberon is scum and we lose by not lynching them today?
A-Brand · 5 months ago
Yeah, I think we should probably just lynch Fiona. If we're at 5-3-1, then this was just a scumsided game to begin with and we got unlucky. But I think that's probably not the case
A-Brand · 5 months ago
If Fiona is a Jester and you have been blackmailed, then it's likely 5-3-1 right now. Lynch the 3P, you die, 4-3 into NP2. Successful NK, 3-3 parity. Game over.
Actually, 8-3-1 would be a scumsided setup. Not impossible, but if there's a 3P I think 2 scum is more likely.
A-Brand · 5 months ago
A-Oberon wrote:
Flora - vanilla
Martin - vanilla
Julian - ???
Oberon - vanilla
Fiona - "regent/crier"
Deidre - regent/crier
Caine - vanilla
Gerard - vanilla
Bleys -
Llewella -
Brand -
Random -
I think lynching Fiona is still the right move here. If we leave him alive what happens later? He's still getting lynched. Mag said jesters are joint win if I recall. 8-3-1 is very unbalanced, especially with 5+ vanillas. Assuming it's 6-2-1 or 6-3 right now, If we lynch fiona it'll probably be 4-2 tomorrow, which is acceptable.
If Fiona is a Jester and you have been blackmailed, then it's likely 5-3-1 right now. Lynch the 3P, you die, 4-3 into NP2. Successful NK, 3-3 parity. Game over.
A-Brand · 5 months ago
Well, it's been a while since I've seen a direct CC. The last game I can remember with one was... Years Mafia? That can't be right, can it?
In any case, no way in hell am I voting for Deirdre. Their side of the CC is way more believable, plus bringing up the 3P possibility is a good point I also almost missed. Executioner seems plausible. Fiona did dick all yesterday, then voted Flora randomly at the end. Now they do a really stupid (imo) regent claim. Could just be mafia desperation (or just idiocy) but it's definitely Jester-like behavior as well. Have to think about this.
A-Brand · 5 months ago
A-Random wrote:
Actually thats wrong. Mafia would be motivated not to lynch Oberon.
Caine is prob a town lock and stupid
It's a point in his favor imo, but town lock?
A-Brand · 5 months ago
A-Random wrote:
I believe if he's doing it. Its whatever role allows him to yoink someone's account as he would want to flip dead
So, Disguiser then? But that doesn't work tho, because the Disguiser kills at night and flips in the morning. If Oberon has actually been blackmailed, then he'll die at EoD. We can easily distinguish between the two scenarios.