Originally Posted by Lunatic on 11/11/2026 at 11:08 PM (post #76)
Originally Posted by Helz on 11/11/2026 at 9:45 PM (post #73)
Originally Posted by Lunatic on 11/11/2026 at 10:16 PM (post #71)
Originally Posted by Thoth on 11/11/2026 at 3:43 PM (post #62)
Full Godfather in a 2-scum game is retarded, especially with scum having another ability that interferes with Cop results. What good is 40% of a cop?
For more information, look up "40% cops"
Hard dis-agree. And my personal opinions of cops is fuck cops. I think they are extremely Overpowered and take away from scum hunting. An ability that just tells you who scum is, is very broken. Any game of mine ever, if it has a cop, will have hard counters to it, like millers, godfathers, lawyers/framers etc. I do that on purpose to teach a lesson that investigations aren't everything. Seen many games lost because people blindly trusted results. Behavior is and always should be king.
I mean, what he is asking for is basically what existed. Just at a higher %
GF was there yes, but there was also another scum. 4 days is the reasonable target for the game end with 3 being fast and 5 being slow. So if we go math nerd-
Yeah a 9-player game is usually about 3-4 day phases max.
We are looking at an alignment cop hitting at an 11.11% chance every night.
We are looking at a tracker hitting at a 22.22% chance every night.
Now that is talking about targeting perfectly. Scum has an option to block one of the two potentials which is more difficult to quantify. For the Alignment cop it drops them to zero for one night. For Tracker the tracker themselves had to be targeted meaning it started at around a 12.5% chance N1, became a 16.66% chance N2 and would be a 25% chance D3 to offset that 22.22% chance of guilty by RNG player count.
The math also excludes factors such as piecing toether town roles based on taking hints or breadcrumbs from the day phase. This was a weird game where claims weren't prominent early as they usually sometimes are, and dp2 ended too quickly for anything to come out, but I've played as scum with whiteflame or magic a few times where we've been able to pretty much POE out every or most power roles by dp2. Not everyone is capable of that, I understand. And you were not really afforded that oppertunity this game, again.
People following what I am saying- This is why I say scum got lucky as fuck. BD makes things much more complicated but simply put you could assume a 4 day phase game with a ~25-30% chance every single day of scum getting hit just by invests. Then add in an additional 11.11% that scales per day for a doc to block a kill.
This game was fucking tough. Scum did not win by skill. They got lucky. I could build a model around it but it would take me more time to explain what things mean than to simply say odds were in towns favor on this one by miles.
Don't underplay yourself, I think it took some skill, and I think you ended up convincing both rex and wylted that you were town based on behavior alone!
Oh, the math is trash. I excluded soooo many things and scribbled that on a phone post. I could break down more logarithmic functions and how they intersect and how. But how many people would follow that thought process. Giving very basic %s just kept it simple and got the point across.
I agree having to come up with creative claims is great. What is not so great though is when you do not know what names people on this site use for roles or what specific way they are used. Then its less about just figuring out what a good claim could be and more about not stepping on some intellectual landmine. That is what just sucks imo. It feels soo bad trying to come up with a fake claim and not knowing what is even considered normal or reasonable in the community. This will be a growing pain for this place I will call out.
There is an updated version but ehh, I am lazy and it does not matter. Point being I was paranoid enough about the claims to crawl through every fucking Jim Carrey movie and figure out what would be viable to claim with. Figured that may amuse some people.