Like this is what baffles me about the resistance to this.
You lynch her and she flips scum. Great we got scum
You lynch her and she flips town. Confirms her results and every action in the game. Both claimed and unclaimed ones hit you luna and I. Then we hope we get results. Its a 10x better game state than wondering if the claimed dreamer who was a prime lynch target is walking us off a cliff
Mikal wrote:
Except as scum if you lynch her and she flips town, you are in the poe with confirmed results. Town should want to lynch her so they can consolidate night actions based on the flip results. This is exactly what I mean by tmi.
This is so mega wrong. We are ALREADY lynching within the PoE, TODAY. Why would I lynch in the POE today, when I can instead just get a mislynch and lynch in the POE tomorrow?
If she flips town, we're at 9 players tomorow, now we got one pool of 2-1, which is 1/3 scum, the other with 4-2, which is ALSO 1/3 SCUM, we gain nothing except a mislynch.
Tmi tmi tmi tmi tmi tmi tmi
How the fuck do you know we are lynching in the poe. If she is scum there is no poe and we lose. The fact you can even say that points to the fact you have her town locked with no valid reasoning as to why you can assume shes locked.
I've already demonstrated at least 3 separate times why the "too many investigatives" read is false. There's no reason to disbelieve the dreamer claim on this front.
I've already explained multiple times that dreamer is unnecessarily risky fake claim, especially as the first outed result of the day, because scum wouldn't know if they have been visited.
There's no reason to disbelieve the dreamer claim. Confirming results nets us zero probabilistic advantage next DP. Thus no reason to lynch probable town to confirm results
Automated Vote Count
This vote count was generated by the mafia vote bot.
Mikal (3/6): Bullish (p#146), Banana (p#185), Lunatic (p#326)
Bullish (3/6): Helz (p#287), whiteflame (p#324), Mikal (p#329)
Lunatic (1/6): RexFavilla (p#384)
Not Voting (4): Casey_Risk, Mag1cman (p#127), Shining, Thoth (p#338)
With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Day phase ends in 13 hours.
Casey_Risk wrote:
Does anyone here have any reason to TR Shining?
Hes cute and prickly like a hedgehog this game. That means he's town.
When he's scum he's slimy and restless like a frog.
Bullish wrote:
save me waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa casey's about to suicide herself on to mikal when I flip town
I hear you, but you're preaching to the choir. You need to convince them not me. If I had a dayvig I would have shot Luna DP1, nothing I can do to stop a bad lynch if everyone else is set on it.
Having a good reason to believe a claim doesn't mean its true. Taking a gambit when you are already a prime target is not some foreign concept. Everything you post has no consideration or leaves room for any opportunity she could potentially be scum
"We are lynching in the poe"
Not " we are likley lynching in the poe"
"Tomorrow we will be picking within the poe if she dies"
Not "we could be"
The words you are choosing are way to casual and just reek of tmi. There is no room for an assumption. That is talking as if they are confirmed.
yeah but if you vote mikal I only need to convince 2 people instead of 3
This is painful at this point.
Its about to be night time. Most people will be asleep soon and prob wake up after the day phase ends. We have to land on something. We are looking like a no lynch at this point and if there are 3 scum and we dont get a protect, stop, etc off. We prob only get one lynch just by basic math.
Wait is my math off
Nl
11
Nk 10
Lynch
9
Nk
8
3 to 5
Nm im totally wrong. A nl would not take us to 1 lynch if there are 3 scum. Could be worse I guess
If there are 4 scum we are cooked lol
I guess the only risk of a nl is if there are 4 scum. Makes me feel less stressed at least
You don't strike me as the type of person who goes "akschoully ☝️🤓 that's not true 100% of the time" every time someone makes a claim without prefacing it with "in general", so the fact you're still harping on this is scummy asf. I made it clear in my first post on casey #146 the exact reasons why I buy that claim. I'm not gonna say "pwobabababwy" every time I mention casey.
Mikal wrote:
If there are 4 scum we are cooked lol
I don't buy that there's 4 scum at all tbh
Its not the fact you have not said possibly specifically, dear fuck
You have not stopped to even entertain it. Every post, word, and thought assumes shes town confirmed. Its the literal definition of tmi
It would be rough balance for sure.
So a nl isn't the end of the world
Yeah and I explained fucking why in my first post
Automated Vote Count
This vote count was generated by the mafia vote bot.
Mikal (3/6): Bullish (p#146), Banana (p#185), Lunatic (p#326)
Bullish (3/6): Helz (p#287), whiteflame (p#324), Mikal (p#329)
Lunatic (1/6): RexFavilla (p#384)
Not Voting (4): Casey_Risk, Mag1cman (p#127), Shining, Thoth (p#338)
With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Day phase ends in 12 hours.
Bullish wrote:
yeah but if you vote mikal I only need to convince 2 people instead of 3
Mikal isn't the worst choice. I'm waking up at the asscrack of dawn to go to the gym tomorrow. I'll check back in then and see where we stand.
If I die are you lynching casey?
Yes. Your post is retarded
Just because something could be true. Or even if you drastically believed it, could very likley be true. Doesn't mean its confirmed.
Prob. Unless results point to something else.
You and casey are my poe
Mikal is a massive hypocrite. Look at the "certainty" he speaks with whtieflame's claim.
"We both have redirection style roles"
"White targeted luna and can move all actions to himself"
"Wf also got hit with a vanillaizer"
Oh no! tMI TMi Tmi tMi tmi tmI Tmi TMI!!!
Like i said outside world is luna.
Wf thinks its luna if I recall
I would prob be going very hard on luna for similar reasons im pointing out to you if I could be convinced scum luna would have that shitty of a claim.
I didn't say it was confirmed bro, I used my head to think about it, laid out the reasons why I buy the claim, and then acted on that reasoning, it's not arcane linguistics
That comparison is so stupid. Me and wf are cautious of each other but there is enough behavior ans thousands of messagss to not be in each other poes atm. Could he be scum sure. I doubt. That is not the same as town locking someone
You lying again, I did not "town lock" casey. I said in #377 "If mikal flips town I would not know how to proceed." If I was town locking casey I would say proceed with lynching lunatic.
