In blind or semi-blind setups I do not like to make assumptions. Its very possible Mafia has PR's and adding some form of 1 shot strongman and such would be in the cards. I have asked quite a few questions to the host on the subject and strongman was brought up with protectives not functioning as +1/-1 but instead immunity with exceptions.
In the meta here, a 1x Strongman would simply modify the NK, it's not its own separate action. So, no, I really don't think that's in the cards.
Does mafia need to be recruited to activate their PRs? Thats also a valid question. Something I have been watching for if people seem to lobby to be recruited and although both Town and mafia in that situation would have motive for doing so I am not seeing much of it. I would expect wolves to push in that direction if that was the case
I would guess no, since the setup only mentions town members needing to be recruited to use abilities.
Then there is the question of 3p. One could exist with its own KPN and that could hit N1. Potential does exist there
Technically possible, but I don't even know when the last game was with a killing 3P. I think it's very unlikely given the meta here.
And we can look at things from a balance perspective. 4v13 is slanted in towns favor. Town also starts (and should have had) 6 effective PR's at game start with a mechanic leveraging chunks of the town being role blocked each night to create more PR vs using whatever abilities our 2 guild leaders have. This is pretty damn strong. This increases my paranoia that Mafia has powerful roles as well as the potential of third party existing.
Even granting all of that, it still doesn't lead me to the conclusion that there will be a death tonight. From my perspective, we should take what Mikal said about no NK NP1 at face value. He's not a bastard mod.