Magoroth

The only issue with Thoth confirming himself is that we are likely at LyLo tomorrow, barring any crazy night actions from power roles. So any confirmation tomorrow will be effectively worthless, short of him revealing himself as Innocent Child.

Magoroth

I honestly think everyone other than Thoth/Wryly is a scummy motherfucker. I probably distrust Wylted the least in that group, and then Pie, but by no means are they my town leans.


Wylted is obsessed with Thoth and has been for the whole game. That doesn’t strike me as towny, especially seeing as he is usually way more flip floppy and erratic. This game? Tunnelled on one or two players the whole game.


he actually changed his mind several times last game. So what gives?

Magoroth

I think Wryly is likely Town. I just realized Thoth basically pushed Wylted all day for his Esptein PfP, then disappeared and basically fucked off afterwards. That doesn’t sound like scum behaviour to me, more like disinterested Town behaviour.

Magoroth

We are probably 5v2 rn. In the scenario where we do no-lynch, we go to MyLo, 4v2 tomorrow. Not ideal.

So we should 100% lynch today and go to LyLo tomorrow. 3v2 is easier to win than 4v2.


In that event, I think nobody should claim today. We claim at MyLo tomorrow. It may be the case that there’s only one power role, in which case we get a CC war tomorrow. It’s not ideal, but it’s a 50/50 chance to win or lose. The scenarios are actually a bit more complicated than that, there’s two I can think of:


Scenario A: CC war. Say a Town reveals a red check on someone tomorrow. Mafia goes all in, puts themselves into a box as a team, goes all in and tries to lynch the Town. 50% chance they win, 50% chance they lose the CC war and probably lose the game, having outed themselves.

Scenario B: CC war. A town reveals a red check on someone tomorrow. One of the Mafia goes all in and says “X” is lying, and says “X and Mafia B are scum”, the other Mafia sides with the Investigator and says “Mafia A and Townie Y are scum”. Scenario B gives a 25% chance of winning immediately, and supposedly buys one of the Mafia some town cred in the event that one of them gets lynched, they fight it out D4 with a 2v1 and convince one of the townies to mislynch.


Either of these scenarios are possible. But in any event, 4v2 sucks. 3v2 is way better.


Magoroth

Claim Tracker


Thoth - Power role, not a protective role, claimed to be visiting me tonight because he town reads me

Pie - Some character that is apparently pertinent to Link?

Banana (flipped) - I can’t remember what her character’s name was, but her role was Governoress and would stump herself if she got lynched D1. I’m not entirely sure why Banana didn’t claim. We coulda lynched her and used her to overthrow lynches the following days if necessary. Not ideal, but it would give us a borderline confirmed town; her ability is either overpowered (at MyLo) or useless the rest of the game, if scum. I guess the same is true of her being town, but feels worse as scum.


How common of a role is governor on this site?

Magoroth

By the way, I asked Kohai and Banana apparently had to USE her ability, consciously, wilfully, it was not an automated thing.


So Banana undid the Lynch, probably because it was a mistaken hammer and not a purposeful one.


Might be wise to get a claim out of Thoth. Not that I don’t townread him, but him disappearing after being revived and seemingly being town read (?) makes me uneasy.

Magoroth

Feel a little unsafe with Rex at L-2. I think the day ends on the 24th of February, 10PM EST (4am CEST my time). Don’t yet want an early hammer. My vote is on him in spirit.


Unvote


My issue rn is that I do find certain things that Rex has done scummy, but I scumread him on D1 of my first game here too and I was wrong. Not a fan of how people seemingly agree that he is scummy, either. Makes me think it’s likely we’re all wrong.

Magoroth

I have done fake reaction tests as scum before btw. Usually its with the intent of faking a town playstyle and turning it into a scum gambit, with two reasons

a) to get townread

b) I intentionally play scummy as town sometimes to bait the scum into voting me. Make yourself appear scummy to out the scum, it works almost every time. You bait them into pushing you too hard and making out every action you do align with scum, it’s a good trap. As scum you can fake that playstyle and get someone lynched that way.

Magoroth
Lunatic wrote in 151:
What if both of you are town here and just being stubborn knuckleheads?

"If you were my sons I would knock your heads together and lock you in a room until you remembered you are brothers!" -Catelyn Stark, GOT


This isn’t quite what I had in mind, I saw something else but this is a little scummy, saying two people are town when they’re fighting. I haven’t seen the post I had in mind on a quick scroll, I’ll find it later. I did see some from Rex though.