Some thoughts to start the day that I spent the last half an hour or so writing. Then I refreshed the thread, saw where discussion had gone, and felt the need to get that bit about Wylted out
When I said in DP1 (post #544) that Mikal needed to be on the block in DP2 unless we had solid mechanical evidence that he is town, I had a scenario in mind for NP1 in which my role would prove Mikal town beyond a reasonable doubt. This scenario happened, and I consider him cleared unless and until something absolutely scumlocks him. My sphygmomanometer thanks me. However, since I can't prove my result and don't want to claim my ability because good reasons, for town's sake I would still like indepedent corroboration of Mikal being clear, and I specified mechanical evidence yesterday in hopes that someone else would try to get some.
If Mikal is town, which I am almost certain he is, the safe option for scum last night was killing him. I have proof that scum killed him. With one death overnight and recruiting likely requiring mafia to waive their night-kill, thankfully, Mikal probably was not recruited. However, since Shining was an unknown quantity and probably winning King of the Hill on most people's scum piles, he makes a strange target. Shining was presumably Janitored, so scum can now fake-claim the role they scrubbed, on top of whatever fake-claim(s) Rex might have given them. Call that a No Shit Analysis if you want, but we should keep it in mind. This should also put the final nail in the coffin of the cult theory, on the off chance anyone was still thinking that.
The only characters mentioned by name in role flips, aside from the characters themselves, are Emperor Barbarossa and Mathiu in Magic's flip, and the way they are mentioned makes me think they are probably both in here. Aside from Barbarossa being the ultimate Scarlet-lock, I would like Mikal's thoughts about what their presence implies about the town/scum split. I would also like Mikal's thoughts on what an ability being called a True Rune could mean. Obviously, if Mikal thinks this information should kept secret, then I would rather he keeps his thoughts to himself.