Mag1cman

Thoth wrote:

Mag1cman wrote:

The question on Lunatic is if he would switch the wagon away from Casey (assuming Casey is scum). He’s ballsy enough, but would he have good reason to think he can get away with it?

Being ballsy could be the reason.

nah. You could have some giant balls of steel, but if the move is just low iq,

even the ballsiest will avoid doing it

for example Wylted is the ballsiest player on this site. He has the balls to lynch himself if he thinks it would somehow help his faction in the long run. He got a bomb ability a few games ago and tried to use it, thinking worse case scenario his ability activates. If he had known his ability wouldn’t be activated, he wouldn’t have done it. Part of that was impulsiveness, but that speaks to my point. Even Wylted has his limits. And so does Lunatic.

So any scum case on Lunatic, from the PoV of someone who thinks Casey is scum (which I do) needs to provide a good reason why scum Lunatic would reasonably but not correctly think he could get away with it, from a scum incentives standpoint, not just “lunatic ballsy Kek”

The question on Lunatic is if he would switch the wagon away from Casey (assuming Casey is scum). He’s ballsy enough, but would he have good reason to think he can get away with it?

RexFavilla wrote:

Mag1cman wrote:

Lunatic wrote:

No texting and driving! Real friends don’t let friends play mafia and drive

ISOing Lunatic and found this.

I second this.

Very anti-town tbh. Activity is pro-town.

😭 bruh Rex is the devil on Mikal’s shoulder while he’s driving

If anything I am more sus of people not on the wagon trying to farm town cred. 

I’ve been towning Magoroth for the whole DP, fighting actions against him whenever I’m online. This is disingenuous

Lunatic wrote:

No texting and driving! Real friends don’t let friends play mafia and drive

ISOing Lunatic and found this.

I second this.

I think how quickly that wagon on Magoroth got traction vs the wagon on Casey is noteworthy

If Mago flips town I’m confident in saying 2/3 of the scum team is in that wagon, 3/3 if Casey town which I doubt

Sure, but in general it doesn’t seem scummy at first glance. Not at all

Btw, I don’t blame Rex and shining for voting there. Better than vtnl

Could lunatics late DP townier, ironically?

Casey

Bansna

lunatic

wf

high Poe no particular order

i wanna stick to my theory that town was letting us run off a cliff

neither helz nor Thoth look scummy by that metric

Never did a deep dive but Helz’s approach at a glance seems more like townie who is obsessive and wrong than scum

Hammer

*shift the wagon off

Hot take, if Casey is scum, banana worse than lunatic

scum would be afraid to try and the wagon off Casey perhaps. Tough to say.

I don’t hate having Helz in Poe but I’m really starting to think Mikal is town here

Bruh what. If Magoroth flips town as I think he will, banana and lunatic look horrible. doesn’t help Casey either

Casey

Whiteflame

Lunatic

Banana

Shining

Thoth

i like this poe a lot. Tbh my top 3 could kick out someone for Banana

One more thing: with a gun to my head, if I were to call the mafia team

Casey, Whiteflame, Lunatic

that third spot has quite a few contenders.

I'm off for the night. tbh Casey's given us no reason to give a townread, and yet there's plenty in the thread that Casey could've analyzed at that time. idt Casey is like Rex from last game; they definitely do not have the same personality. So a scumread isn't unwarranted.

Kohai wrote:

VTL: RexFavilla

Probably the safest lynch. I'm very uncertain on this but since they admitted they have no real PR or can't clear themselves this is safer than blindly lynching an inactive slot.

SIW

I have a bad feeling about this, but this is probably our only option at this point

several games ago rex refused to claim and got lynched for it. he was town. he will refuse to claim for the good of town.

i think he's behaviorally town.

please consider the theory that mafia is hiding. not necessarily by votes but by activity. letting us destroy each other.

eh. I don't know what's gonna happen if I try to start a wagon, if anyone will join. Best odds of a lynch of scum atm are here

VTL: Casey_Risk

my main theory is that scum is letting us run off a cliff

if i'm putting my money where my mouth is the scummiest by that metric is casey for sure

beyond that, the people others do actually have votes, which goes against my theory. Whiteflame and Banana in particular. Whiteflame has been more involved; Banana, less so and just placed a vote.

but whiteflame's posts just aren't that great to me.

Shining has done nothing. If my theory about mafia letting town run off a cliff is coreect, there has to be one member bucking the plan in favor or doing their own thing. Perhaps the theory is busted and they've been involved.

I can rehash the theory, with involvement being measured by post activity instead of votes. there we have Banana, Whiteflame, Shining, Lunatic, and Casey all in the crosshairs. Maybe less for Whiteflame. Partially for Mikal?

I can see a world where Mikal's posts are disingenuous and he's trying to avoid the top 2 wagons, but his process seems reasonable.

anyway, we haven't even talked about thoth's claim here

hmmmm

im out of time to think. I lean town on Rex and think solid town on Bullish. Helz, hard to figure out atm.

I almost want to eliminate lunatic from contention for today's lycnh for the data- but why do we need a pie chart when the just the list of users by post count will do? feels performative? Banana and Shining aren't special.

some of lunatic's questions feel disingenuous, but for some of the data he's exploring, it looks like he has a real thought process for it

shining and banana also just do nothing this game, generic stuff

helz is interesting, possibly just an autism thing

there's obviously nothing impressive about casey

tbh the fakest player in this game is whiteflame from what I've read.

Helz wrote:

Mag1cman wrote:

Helz wrote:

Kohai wrote:

Helz wrote:

Oh my god I am dying right now. This is funny as fuck

??

Dude was railing about how Bullish was town and I need to change my vote arguing about it then posted a vote count and realized I was not even voting them. Its kinda fucking funny.

thought i saw your vote on bullish somewhere. oh well. my points stand, for those who are on bullish's wagon

So gona be real. I dont give a flying fuck if I am killed today. I have real life shit to do anyways.

But why do you care so much about Bullish? Whats up with your focus on that? Can you explain yourself there?

well, he was about to be lynched, and it was going to be a very stupid lynch for reasons i've already stated, which you can find in my ISO

yeah i can see why Mikal townreads rex. genuine reaction to a pretty stupid scumread of him imo

Helz wrote:

Kohai wrote:

Helz wrote:

Oh my god I am dying right now. This is funny as fuck

??

Dude was railing about how Bullish was town and I need to change my vote arguing about it then posted a vote count and realized I was not even voting them. Its kinda fucking funny.

thought i saw your vote on bullish somewhere. oh well. my points stand, for those who are on bullish's wagon

casey's posts are a whole bunch of generic nothing. I don't hate the lynch there. Works with my theory that mafia are just letting town roll off a cliff

better than a lynch on bullish.

lemme check rex and a few others

Helz wrote:

Mag1cman wrote:

Mikal wrote:

This day is over in the am and half of us are prob about to sleep id imagine. Other than thoth cus he lives in hell. Can we land on what to do. Otherwise plurality may be awkward as fuck if it lands wrong and give scum a chance to land a random lynch

We need to land on something and consolidate on someone.

yup looking at others rn

@Helz jokes aside, it's just simple logic on Bullish. Nothing tmi about it

Ok. So all bullshit aside.

Im confused at your point. You are arguing that Bullish is town. Ok.. Uhh.. Why?

Past that I am not even voting them or pushing for them. They are in my small POE I was considering for the end of day and such. But why are you shoving me on this and rambling about how town this player I am not even voting is? Just what the fuck there?

And past that how about what are your reads. I am pushing Rex. The confirmed town wants it between me, Rex and Bullish in their last post. How about you explain a stance between us you see as holding value.

Like even if you super weirdly awkwardly townread bullish can you explain that? Or maybe explain why me or rex must scum?

only scumread i have atm is whiteflame

I haven't compared him to others yet to see if he's the scummiest

going over to casey's iso rn

we can analyze the incentives of Mikal's vote on Casey DP2 but from what im seeing he seems towny just by his process. hard to elaborate but it just seems genuine