Ultimately I don’t think Thoth is scum here. His push on Whiteflame is who almost the most agreed upon townie right now seems counter intuitive for a mafia stratagem, which leads me to believe that the read while outlandish in so many regards, is probably legitimate.
I would be okay with shining except that i dont feel we learn anything if he is town, and we’ve made the mistake of lynching earth before for dubious reasons. This time he happens to be incriminated by results so I’d feel less bad about getting it wrong.
Mikal feels scummiest to me out of the three on the lynch. His actions in regards to Whiteflame never sat right with me and his subsequent explanation for his actions feels very weak to me. That plus his overreaction to the pressure he recieved at the time felt extremely fake, almost more of an intimidation tactic to threaten town for screwing up and shame us for voting him until he realized it was really just me who was seriously pressuring him. That and his role isn’t as powerful as he suggests it is, and so far it doesn’t really make sense with a caroler. Unless exactly RT and Whiteflame are scum, we know that there is a caroler. So for Mikal’s role to be legit we have to assume there is a third investigative role that straight up gives results which might be true but also feels very powerful. It’s not out of the realm of possibility.
But the major thing giving me pause in Mikal is that the role he claimed was a role he and I had discussed fake claiming in biology mafia. I was the one who had suggested it and I remember Mikal really liking the fake claiming and wanting to use it, even after I had backed off of the idea of using it. It feels extremely convienent that Casey would pull this role to use out of a hat when it’s never been used before and the only ever time I can recall it being mentioned was when we discussed using it as a fake claim.
I’m going to attempt one last push against Mikal here to see what kind of support I can garnish, if we would really rather lynch shining or Thoth I will be on board as I do think the caroler results are likely legit, so we still stand to lynch scum correctly by following through. But yeah I’d rather lynch Mikal out of the three. His mild omgus doesn’t help my read against him either.